Will Five Percent Money Market Yields Soon Become a Thing of the Past? With the
Federal Reserve Board of Governors meeting next week (
Oct. 30-
31) to discuss the
economy and short-term interest rate policy,
futures markets are expecting the
Federal funds target rate to be cut to 4.5% from 4.75%. Given that, most of the time,
money market fund and money market deposit accounts follow the Fed, the
handful of remaining yields over 5% may quickly become history. However,
Crane Data likes to be
contrarian; we're going with the minority view that the Fed doesn't cut, resisting the market'
s attempt at blackmail. (
Isn'
t it funny how credit market problems pop up just ahead of each meeting?) We think the Fed should stick with the belief that the economy is fine and that recent market turmoil is artificial, and subsiding.
Either way, though, money fund and MMDA yields should continue inching lower in coming weeks.